I dream of living in ... a World Without Dictators! I'm a Libertarian Paternalist in Slovakia - Freedom with Responsibility - 10% of income into your own Pension; Tax Loans for education, health, housing; now supporting Employment Maximizing Companies!
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3-d Analysis to Election Results
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Bush hate, Jew hate, Success hate
Fantasy Bush speech on Sudan as Genocide
Fantasy Condi speech at the NAACP
Harry Potter, Ender Wiggin, (no) Help for Iraqi People
Kerry's Lie -- the Moral Superiority War
Lessons to be learned from Abu Ghraib and Stanford
Money grubbing hate leads to Jew hate
NATO Human Rights Enforcement Group - HReg
Tax Loans
Tax Loans to Solve Immigration
Three Loves plus a New Heart
Will Iraq become a bloodbath?
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On a comment at Winds of Change I noted my Fantasy Bush Speech on Sudan as Genocide -- and Glenn Reynolds, the Instapundit linked.
This is called an Instalaunche. Thanks. Any comments are welcome; email too.
Of course -- I'm leaving on vacation for a week! So prolly no blogging from the lovely Tatras in Slovakia.
Please read my little "2 wolf packs" top paragraph. Every action has good and bad points.
Here are the main ideas of the long speech, a lot of things about Bush's past & future policies:
1) Iraq & Afghanistan are huge successes, and Amnesty, HRW, the UN, and the PRESS refuse to report them as successes
2) There is genocide -- but the UN doesn't use that word, and should.
3) The UN is failing. The Dem policy of "more UN" would also fail.
4) Dems don't mind failure, as long as there's a good apology, afterword.
5) Taking Action means people die. Bush is being unfairly judged by some silly "perfect" standard of no deaths.
6) This perfection standard justifies taking no action, and apologizing later. If one wants military action to be taken, one should specify, in advance, acceptance of killing innocents.
7) It should be, logically, hard-to-impossible to call for action in Sudan, without supporting action in Iraq.
[It's not as long as Den Beste! (nor as good? sigh)]
Some think the Dems can win by focusing on the problems of the poor, like homelessness.
This often shows a great heart, but I suggest more focus on the fundamental cause of "homelessness" -- lack of a job. (One that pays -- there's plenty of work to do!)
The one thing the commies did right was to have no unemployment. Unfortunately, they used force -- it was illegal to be without a job.
A. Dubchek, one-time commie leader of
I support a National Service, like a military, where EVERY US citizen would be offered a job. It could include barracks style temporary housing, and mobile trailer type temporary family housing. It SHOULD, specifically, involve far more restrictions on personal irresponsibility.
The Dems can't win on the "homeless" issue, because they deny that most homeless behave in an irresponsible manner, whether from illness, drugs, or bad upbringing. And so the Dems want a big gov't program, and higher taxes ... on the rich! The greedy rich! The greedy rich who create jobs ... higher punishment, er, taxes on those who create jobs; that's how the Dems solve the jobs problem.
Right. (see Rick Heller Centerfield )
Rick Heller also has notes about the DLC, which I disagree with.
It's incoherent to say both:
"the Bush Administration is not conservative when it comes to fiscal matters"
AND
" the conservatives have moved the political spectrum too far to the right"
In fact, fiscal conservatives are NOT happy with Bush, because he spends too much (NO vetoes, unlike Reagan). And no, Reps in Congress would NOT let a Dem president spend as wildly; get ready for huge budget battles if Kerry wins but doesn't carry the House. Though at least Kerry will have an excuse for not doing anything he promises.
This whole Leftist idea that Bush is far to right is objectively false. On gay marriage, Kerry says he objects to it (but doesn't mean it), Bush both objects to it (like the majority of voters), AND is willing to push an Amendment to stop it. Otherwise everybody expects the courts to "Amend" the Constitution to force states to allow it.
On partial birth abortions, Kerry says his personal belief is against abortions (but doesn't mean it), Bush objects and forbids them (like the majority of voters) -- and the Leftist courts overrule it.
On
Deficits have two sides.
1) The gov't spending too much.
2) The gov't not taxing enough.
Um, I'd support an increase in the gas tax, 1 penny each week, until the deficit went away. But you know, and I know (and wanted you to know I know), this ain't gonna happen.
Spending is the problem, gov't pork. The Dems are not serious about the deficit until they can talk about cutting spending.
Increasing punishment, er, taxes (on the rich!) is not gonna be so great -- higher taxes lead to less growth, and fewer jobs.
Personally, I really wish the Dems would focus on reducing spending, but I don't see it this year. See Todd .
Centerfield asks about a fading middle ground in politics?
The Dem Party, like the ACLU, is becoming explicitly anti-God. If there are crosses on the Seal of California, that is unacceptable. The (semi-voluntary?) Pledge with the words "under God" -- unacceptable.
There is a Leftist brand of secular fundamentalism that opposes any expression of Christian faith by politicians -- the PC anti-prayer thought police types. The truth is that all laws are based on force, and there is some moral philosophy behind each and every one; should force be used on this issue, yes or no?
One important purpose of gay marriage is to send Christians to jail for preaching against homosexuals, using gov’t force, as was recently done to Ake Green in Sweden (though the pro-gay folk won’t admit this purpose). The gay marriage debate in the
Legal abortions, in support of irresponsible sexual promiscuity, is the rot at the heart of the current Dem Party (much as many horny young liberal guys seem to like the grazing opportunities of hook-up sex).
Whether
How many Americans would Kerry be willing to let die to stop the genocide? 3000? 200? 10? The silly criticism of Bush in
There has been no American military action as wildly successful as Iraqi Freedom in the last 100 years. Try to name one that was better. And I'm pretty angry at the anti-war Left about the
On the other hand, most Americans are still far more tolerant, and kind, than the extremes, and this is good.
Dean wonders if the Reps are willing to pledge to be better than the Dems, if Kerry wins.
How many of you will have the patriotism to say, "I disagree with many of his policy directions, I do not think he is conducting our foreign policy in the right way, but I will do my best to get behind him and support him until elections come around next time?"
I think this is a fine sentiment. But, if Kerry wins, it will be because The Press made people angry at Bush. It will be because Bush-hate was so strong, for so long, that folks got tired of hearing, from the press, how terrible Bush is.
Michael Novak has nice line about how liberals used to be against hate, Jew-hate, Commie-hate, Black-hate, etc. But, now under Bush, they get to indulge in hate, to indulge in disrespect.
And they like it.
I don't hate Kerry, and I kinda like Bush, but I'm afraid of Bush-hate -- which is all too similar to the Nazi supported Jew-hate of 70 years ago.
I'll pledge to continue opposing irrational hate of persons, rather than policy results.
But I'll continue to oppose any policy that results in 2 million, or even 200 000, human fetuses killed, every year.
Michael links to this, too,
In Dean's comments, Mark Noonan (about 55 in?), suggests that if Kerry wins, there will be more talk, less action ... until the terrorists regroup and succeed in another spectacular attack.
I've long been afraid of:
And then (rephrasing Mark), we'll get less nuanced again and, more simply, fight to win.
Also, there and here, I object to the double standard -- the more moral Reps/ conservatives are supposed to pledge to NOT do what the Dems are now doing. The question itself correctly assumes that the Dems are doing "something wrong": spreading & repeating lies (Clarke, Wilson, Berger) to hurt Bush's efforts at establishing Iraqi Freedom, and maybe more freedom elsewhere.
And, yes, if it's wrong for the Dems to do it, like NOT approving fed. judges, it will be wrong when the Reps do it. But if the Reps do it "less", it will be less wrong.
In any case, the main guilty parties are the Leftist press, and so if Kerry is elected, I fully expect the press to be much, much nicer to him. If Bush is re-elected I expect the press to continue being this negative, and continue to be less trusted by the voters. [I claim this is the only significant reason to vote Kerry – and I think he might win from it.]
Let me repeat Dean's pledge question: "I disagree with many of his policy directions, I do not think he is conducting our foreign policy in the right way, but I will do my best to get behind him and support him until elections come around next time?"
Actually, it's clear my answer is NO. It's unfair to expect me to 'get behind' and 'support’ Kerry when he's wrong. That is NOT what 'loyal opposition' means, which is the core of the question. I pledge to be an honorable loyal opposition critic, opposing bad policies with honest comparisons of his results, or expected results, with alternative policies and expected alternative results.
Today, the Dems are NOT a loyal opposition; and if Bush wins I don't expect the press, nor most rich elites, to change. They don't deserve to win for being a disloyal opposition.
Greedy teachers retire for loophole – In
Heritage thinks: "The fact that something is technically legal doesn't make it appropriate or ethical," said David John, a research fellow with the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. "A teacher is supposedly instilling in my children a sense of responsibility and a sense of worth, and you don't see that when you sneak around a rule and find a cute exception."
I think it’s important to remember the old commie slogan: he who doesn’t steal from the state, steals from their own family. Let’s also remember the Supreme Court: “Nobody is required to pay more taxes, or avoid any legal devices to reduce taxation”. Heritage is in favor of reducing taxes sent to the gov’t.
The teacher in the article:
Nancarrow, who plans to teach Spanish part time at a private school next year, said she is comfortable with her decisions.
"I think I've provided for myself, saved some money for the future," she said. "I hate to leave any money on the table."
The Leftist morality is similar – arranging to get money from the gov’t is just as moral as being forced to pay; and maximizing what is in the individual’s pocket is equally moral in both cases.
The morality of paying less is clear – it’s your peaceful, voluntarily earned money.
The immorality of getting more from the gov’t is not so clear, but should be – it’s Other People’s Money that the gov’t took by force.
This problem is well known; it’s NOT unsolvable. I haven’t yet seen a better solution than my suggestion: Tax Loans, gov't gives loans, folk repay the loan with taxes, plus loan repayment surcharge.
(thanks to Slovak language blog Ambiance )
Blacks are getting some criticism by other blacks, and this is new, and news.
LaShawn’s article! “Race preferences are divisive and demoralizing. They cause self-doubt. They cause others to doubt black achievement. That's why
By a vote of 5-4, the Court ruled that black applicants may be given an advantage over other students because of the color of their skin, to the shame of all who died fighting for equal justice under the law during the Civil Rights Movement.”
1) get educated (HS certificate PLUS real ability to read)
2) get a job and keep it at least a year
3) avoid sex until or outside of marriage (less fun) (no children outside of marriage)
3 rules for anybody in any group to get out of poverty within 5 years. Until black culture copies Asian culture (Japanese Americans went to concentration camps in WWII) on these points, black results will be less than the results of those who DO follow them. The existence of racism has been used to excuse individual behavior: having too much sex, not getting up to go to work, and never doing school homework (too white).
I'm sad racism does exist, but its a lousy, and now 40 year old--too old -- excuse for black/ Hispanic responsibility. Notice Asians are not counted as "minorities", nor are Jews...
(sent to Mike Seate, who wrote about how blacks are being bad to blacks)
I'm not a huge fan of Pres. Bush's huge spending. But I like that he says he feels a certain way, and acts in the way one would expect based on the expression of feelings, views.
The fact that Bush-hate justifies lies in the minds of liberals, extremism in attacking Bush is never a vice with those folks, this is terrible. Michael Novak points out the Leftist LIKE the liberating power of the dark force, er, lies.
I really fear for Western, tolerant Christian Civilization when there's so many irresponsible lies put out by the Leftist press.
The President needs to know, and begin to act, like the Press is his enemy. Peggy Noonan said that folk want a return to "normal". I think they ARE tired of hearing how bad their President is. And even if the bad-mouthing is lies, they're tired of it.
See my prior post.
Mark Noonan Blogs for Bush notes the prevalence of "Bush lied, People Died", and the thought process behind it.
At varied times our Democrats have said that President Bush lied about WMD in
And not only has President Bush not lied, but his critics have been caught in lie after lie after lie. From the claims of critics that President Bush (and/or Cheney) claimed that Saddam had a hand in 9/11 to claims that President Bush deliberately lied about Saddam's attempts to purchase uranium, it has been President Bush's critics who have been proven the liars - the worst of the lot being Joe Wilson (recently removed from Senator Kerry's website) who made up out of whole cloth the entire concept that Saddam hadn't tried to get uranium from Niger.
Right. Not lies; at worst bad information. Unfortunately, even this is not certain -- maybe Saddam sent the WMDs to Syria -- we really don't know. But the main point is that those calling out that "Bush lied" are liars. And the press supports the liars.
Peggy Noonan makes a fine addition to the "people are tired" meme she already identified. But she’s still missing the key. Media folk. The
The people are tired of the press showing, ad nauseum, the worst of Bush, the worst of the Bush Administration, the worst of
More than "softly", Pres. Bush needs to speak in a balanced way--acknowledging problems as inevitable. And strongly attacking the unreal "perfection" standard, while demonstrating a better balanced approach (more
++Update: this post was supposed to here a couple of weeks ago, but couldn't find it so I'm putting it in, again. Michael Novak discusses how Reps are starting to think that maybe the President could actually lose.
Michael J Totten has returned from Tunis! With Pictures. With a note about Kerry calling Sudan genocide!
See my earlier Fantasy Speech by Bush
Part of my idea in the fantasy was to get Bush pushing Amnesty & Human Rights Watch to call it Genocide (as of then, they didn't). As well as naming and shaming the UN for inaction.
It's a fair question for Americans and liberals -- is stopping genocide worth even one American military life? Also, and more important, is ACTION more moral than inaction, when action will, inevitably, mean Americans kill some innocents in order to achieve victory.
I think Bush should be making such a speech, every week or so, until the human-life loving liberals are admitting that 1) stopping genocide IS worth some American lives, like hundreds, perhaps even thousands, and 2) stopping deliberate mass-murder of innocents by using force means some innocents will be killed, and that is an acceptable, regrettable, reality of hard choices.
And regime change in
http://laurencejarvikonline.blogspot.com/2004/07/elian-factor.html
Because it's too political. But Moore crap OK.
Retook the Political Compass Test:
Economic Left/Right: 5.38
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 1.49
Pretty standard, more right than Tony Blair, but less Authoritarian. Less of both than Bush.
Prolly -- but get wired, for what?
The Heritage folk knew the main thing they wanted. Smaller gov't. They've been working on getting it. (Bush kinda poor on this, though -- ruling party disease?)
The Dems booted out big-gov't pro-life folk, who are now part of the Reps. Most Christians, even Black Christians, are pro-life. But the Dems don't quite accept pro-life anymore. What is the Dem MESSAGE? So far, all I hear different from Kerry is higher taxes ... on the rich -- PUNISH those greedy suckers, those guys who only create new jobs to get even richer than they need.
Kerry doesn't even have the guts to really support higher gas taxes, to reduce the deficit and start pushing towards more fuel economy (slowly, slightly).
Oh, well, there IS the fact that when Kerry agrees with Bush on personal beliefs, abortion, gay-m
Norm has even more on why Human Rights Watch was wrong, in January, on Iraq.
You should read it all; he perfectly connect the dots:
" The criteria for humanitarian intervention deployed by Kenneth Roth (amongst others) would allow a regime that had just massacred, let us say, two million of its own people, but had finished massacring them, to stand with its sovereignty and its international legitimacy intact. If those are the criteria you uphold, do you not, in effect, say this to every Saddam Hussein, every Robert Mugabe? 'It's not the killing of people that will imperil your regime; it's the killing of them too slowly, too continuously, in too ongoing a sort of way.' Not quite a year ago I wrote on this blog of a shameful moral failure of left and liberal opinion (July 29 - old site). Nothing that has happened in the year since has changed my view about that. One of its most unpleasant symptoms has been the style of argument I've highlighted in this post. That it should have been adopted even by so good an organization as Human Rights Watch is testimony to the sorry state of progressive opinion across the globe."
-- if HRW condemns action against Saddam, it's hard to advocate action against Sudan.
First draft Fantasy Speech for Pres. Bush on
Ladies and Gentlemen: The world is slowly getting better, but for every two steps of progress, it seems there is one step back. In the last three years, there have been two terrible regimes, two regimes full of Human Rights abuses, that have been changed by military force.
In
The US Congress has, courageously and truthfully, called the Sudanese gov’t actions by the right term, Genocide. Only 10 years ago, under the previous president, there was a genocide in
Why didn’t the Democrats call
But does
But there is both a real cost, and a perceived cost. I’m sure you all agree that killing 2 000 000 is far worse than killing 26. Not just worse, not just far worse, but so far worse that it’s almost impossible to actually compare the Killing Fields of Cambodia, where communists as policy murdered some 2 000 000, with the 26 or so Iraqi prisoners who have died while in US custody. There is no comparison between the stellar behavior of the
And yet the
Perfection is not a real option that I can choose. When I look at the successful results of
Both of these organizations seem to follow the same Democratic Party idea – lots of words, maybe resolutions, but avoid action. Avoid supporting any action that might be less than perfect. Today we know a lot about
As you may know, recently
And the big organizations are very interested in being critical of the
In early 2004, there was a report by Human Rights Watch claiming that the
Why am I talking so much about the press? Because the press matters. Because there is the question about why the Sudanese is government allowing the genocide. Because of the press. Why genocide-- Because of
It’s a little bit of all these, but most importantly it’s because
I ask myself, is there anything more I could do to demonstrate to
While the fault is clearly with the UN, if the UNSC fails, such a failure must also be understood as a failure of Amnesty and Human Rights Watch, both. And a failure of the International Press. While such policy persons are outspoken against the Iraqi Freedom operation, they have been too quiet on other issues, too quiet about genocide in
I expect to be reviewing our military options. I expect to be planning to go to war, yet again, with another inhumane Arab gov’t; this one actively committing genocide. If we do decide to institute regime change, we will save thousands of lives. I challenge you to support freedom for black Muslims in
Pres. Bush should lead on this issue, and declare himself a leader of humanitarian help for Sudan, including regime change if Sudan fails to save their own people.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2004/07/20/do2002.xml
Mark Steyn has some real anger about
“Why should the West's ability to help
Centerfeud, too. http://www.centerfeud.com/centerfeud/2004/07/praising_rape_i.html
"The ends justify the means", is a good question. If not, then "the means justify the ends" -- meaning smart, hardworking, honest people get rich trading peacefully and respecting commitments, while others don't get rich.
I support a World Without Dictators. I think Bush should start attacking
Bush should really call out the UN, and France, and the international community, about genocide in
http://www.rippleofhope.net/2004/07/gods-of-history-are-asking-okay-if-we.html
David (Ripple of Hope) posted a great story by Amnesty about
"Humanitarian disaster" doesn't require the UN to take action. Amnesty is dropping the ball. So is Human Rights Watch. It was Bush's Sec. of State Powell that is highlighting this, NOT the UN, NOT
Your bias is showing (bad), so is your heart (good). Keep up the heart work.
Here's a question. If Bush leads a humanitarian regime change in
http://platform.blogs.com/passionofthepresent/2004/07/us_congress_dec.html
GREAT new blog on Sudan! No time to write my fantasy Bush speech.
As a former Lib, now a libertarian paternalist pro-God conservative, all three votes have merit:
LP - vote FOR smaller gov't, let other voters decide on the lesser evil that will win.
Rep - vote for Iraqi Freedom, and maybe Iranian freedom and Sudan Freedom (interventionist), AND lower taxes [unfortunately, NOT smaller gov't]
Dem - vote for personal freedom [much higher taxes].
But I think that no election in my life has mattered as much. The hope for freedom includes the world, and the Mid East, accepting human rights and women's rights (though not necessarily abortion).
Iraqi Freedom, despite its costs, was good, and pro-liberty. The only hope for reducing big terror, state-sponsored terror, is regime change in the ME. Throwing UNSC resolutions at Saddam didn't change him. Military did. It's great, Great, GREAT he's out of power.
I guess 10% of a nuke going off in next 4 years under Bush. I guess 40% under Kerry.
Consider writing YOUR guestimates. Before voting.
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><A href="http://www.samizdata.net/blog/archives/006403.html">http://www.samizdata.net/blog/archives/006403.html</A> </P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt">Scott (Samizdata) reminds me about the 60<SUP>th</SUP> Anniversary of the Bomb Plot to kill Hitler by Col. Stauffenberg.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>Admiral Canaris was involved – as was the Pope.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>The Pope Pius was attempting to act as a go-between with the allies.</P>
There is an increase in Business Intelligence / Key Performance Indicators, and drill down technology, in business - IT today.
eGov't and full transparency of gov't actions is coming -- just as it's coming to the newsroom. It will be fought by middle managers who don't want it known how little, in terms of results, they contribute.
The power of capitalism to increase wealth is the focus on "profit" -- the increase in wealth due to an organization's effects. Quantified, watched, and, if CEOs don't create enough of it, the CEO gets replaced.
Gov't services are going to be quantified, measured, and tracked. It's starting to happen, finally, in education. It will, it should, it CAN happen in all gov't areas.
See http://www.fpdc.gov/fpdc/fpdc_home.htm
and others.
What programming teaches is the need for test cases and following the logic of how the system handles it. A main QA issue is the question, how do you know it's right? By some specific output.
Tracking the expected specific outputs, results, rather than the "desire" or motivation or sincerity. (See Jeff)
I've suggested to my Professor wife that a daily class blog by students be a good way to reduce plagiarism. As well as, possibly, a reasonable way to do research about a subject.
Naturally, I have NOT followed through, quite, by doing so on any subjects, but now I think I might. It would be on eGov't ...
(see Brian) http://www.samizdata.net/blog/archives/006411.html
Part of the Libertarian ethic is that "force" should not be used to promote social goals, directly, merely to punish violators. So, somebody who steals your car deprives you of it, and this justifies using force to punish him.
Ideas and digital information, when they are massively and cheaply copied, reduce the "market value" of such digitized info. And, therefore, arguably (probably but not certainly) reduce the incentive to produce the new idea.
Good innovation, for me, does not justify using force to stop folks from sharing their digital info -- the gov't should get out of the business of enforcing any "property rights" about digital info.